Strategic Allocation to Commodity Factor Premiums

Abstract

In this article the authors confirm the existence of sizable momentum, carry, and low-volatility factor premiums in the commodity market, and argue that investors should consider these commodity factor premiums when determining their strategic asset allocation. They find that a diversified portfolio of commodity factor premiums exhibits a significantly better risk-adjusted performance than the commodity market portfolio and adds significant value to a conventional stock/bond portfolio. The plain commodity market portfolio, on the other hand, appears to deserve little or no role at all in the strategic asset mix. Investors should therefore not postpone the consideration of alternative commodity factor premiums to a later stage of the investment process.

TOPICS: Commodities, factor-based models, portfolio construction