Risk contagion among international stock markets

H Asgharian, M Nossman - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2011 - Elsevier
We develop a stochastic volatility model with jumps in returns and volatility to analyze the
risk spillover from the US market and the regional market to a number of European countries’ …

Jumps and stochastic volatility in oil prices: Time series evidence

K Larsson, M Nossman - Energy Economics, 2011 - Elsevier
In this paper we examine the empirical performance of affine jump diffusion models with
stochastic volatility in a time series study of crude oil prices. We compare four different models …

Is the VIX futures market able to predict the VIX index? A test of the expectation hypothesis

M Nossman, A Wilhelmsson - The Journal of Alternative …, 2009 - jai.pm-research.com
This article tests the expectation hypothesis by using the volatility index VIX and futures
contracts written on that index. Because the VIX index is negatively correlated with the S&P 500 …

A term structure model for VIX futures

B Huskaj, M Nossman - Journal of Futures Markets, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
This study develops a term structure model for VIX futures. Instead of deriving the VIX futures
price from a model for the instantaneous variance of the S&P 500 or a model for the VIX, the …

Financial and Economic Integration's Impact on Asian Equity Markets' Sensitivity to External Shocks

H Asgharian, M Nossman - Financial Review, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
This paper investigates the spillover effects from US and regional stock markets on local
stock markets in the Pacific Basin region and China. We also analyze if the spillover depends …

Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation of a multi-factor jump diffusion model for power prices

R Green, M Nossman - The Journal of Energy Markets, 2008 - go.gale.com
In this paper we generalize the electricity spot price model of Lucia and Schwartz by a two-factor
model with jumps and stochastic volatility. We estimate the model on daily spot price …

Nonparametric forward-looking value-at-risk

M Nossman, A Vilhelmsson - Journal of Risk, 2014 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper proposes a new model for computing value-at-risk forecasts. The model is fully
nonparametric and easy to implement. Further, it incorporates information about the market’s …

[PDF][PDF] Comparing Mean-Variance and CVaR optimal portfolios, assuming bivariate skew-t distributed returns

M Nossman, P Wohlfart, B Nilsson - lup.lub.lu.se
In this paper we are building portfolios consisting of the S&P 500 index and a T-bond index.
The portfolio weights are chosen in such a way that the risk for the portfolio is minimized. To …

[PDF][PDF] Comparing Mean-Variance and CVaR optimal portfolios, assuming bivariate skew-t distributed returns

P Wohlfart, M Nossman - 2005 - lup.lub.lu.se
In this paper we are building portfolios consisting of the S&P 500 index and a T-bond index.
The portfolio weights are chosen in such a way that the risk for the portfolio is minimized. To …

Pricing Electricity Swaptions under a Stochastic Volatility Term-Structure Model

R Green, K Larsson, M Nossman - Available at SSRN 2162874, 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper suggests a stochastic volatility term-structure model applied to the pricing of
electricity swaptions in the Nordic power market traded at the Nasdaq OMX Commodities …